Proprietary forecast of climate-driven GDP loss across hazards and sectors
AlphaGeo’s Clima-Metrics models how climate hazards reduce economic output across sectors and geographies. It translates physical hazard intensity into subnational GDP loss, with both unadapted and resilience-adjusted outputs.
This product helps users move from high-level climate flags to quantified, top-down economic impact.
Most climate macro models stay too high level. They hide local variation, flatten sector differences, and miss how multiple hazards interact. Clima-Metrics addresses that gap by estimating GDP loss at subnational resolution, across hazards and sectors, with adaptation built into the view.
This creates two complementary views of climate impact:
Unadapted GDP loss — baseline economic exposure to climate hazards
Resilience-adjusted GDP loss — expected loss after accounting for existing adaptation capacity
This helps users compare gross exposure, defended exposure, and the economic value of resilience.
Geographic coverage: Global
Spatial unit: GID_1 subnational units, with country-level aggregates
Hazards: Heat, flash flood, riverine flood, coastal flood, wind, drought, and combined multi-hazard
Sectors: Agriculture, manufacturing, services
Forecast horizons: Multiple time horizons
The forecast includes both subnational and country-level outputs:
GDP loss percent — combined and per-hazard GDP loss
Sectoral breakdown — agriculture, manufacturing, and services contribution to loss
Resilience dividend — loss avoided through existing adaptation capacity
National aggregates — GRP-weighted country-level summaries
Adaptation gap ranking — adaptation efficiency relative to exposure
Global snapshot — highest-risk countries and regions by hazard
Outputs are available in both unadapted and resilience-adjusted form.
Macro-level sector and geographic analysis
Sectoral and geographic asset allocation strategy
Climate finance allocation and adaptation prioritization
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